Revolutionizing Court Evidence: The Bayesian Approach
Discover how Bayesian reasoning could transform the admissibility of computer evidence in courtrooms. Keep scrolling to learn about this groundbreaking proposal.
The Seven Statement Test: Reimagined

1

Updated Framework
A modernized version of the Seven Statement Test, incorporating Bayesian reasoning for statistical inference.

2

Technical Separation
Proposal separates technical admissibility issues from day-to-day courtroom advocacy.

3

Probability-Based
Establishes a method to update probabilities of hypotheses using prior knowledge and new evidence.
The Bayesian Analysis Process
1
Audit and Security Records
Technical staff and auditors analyze records to prepare the Bayesian Analysis.
2
Reliability Calculation
Analysis based on elements of the Seven Statement Test, considering all risk factors.
3
Probability Output
Results in a probability between 0 (0%) and 1 (100%) for evidence reliability.
This process ensures a thorough evaluation of computer evidence before it reaches the courtroom.
Proposed Legislative Changes
Admissibility Threshold
Computer evidence admissible only if Bayesian Analysis shows risk factors below 0.XX (set by Parliament).
D&O Policy Implications
If analysis is below threshold, Directors and Officers insurance policies become void.
Preliminary Hearings
For cases below threshold but deemed necessary, technical evidence examined before trial.
Updating the Seven Statements
Bayes' Theorem in Crime Solving
DNA Evidence Evaluation
Calculate probability of suspect being DNA source, considering random match probability.
Journey-to-crime Analysis
Estimate likely location of serial offender's residence based on crime patterns.
Evidence Integration
Combine multiple evidence types to update overall probability of suspect's guilt.
Bayes' Theorem provides valuable insights but should be part of a comprehensive investigation.
Advantages of the Bayesian Approach

1

1

Enhanced Reliability
Rigorous statistical analysis improves evidence credibility.

2

2

Transparency
Clear probability metrics for judges and juries.

3

3

Efficiency
Streamlines admissibility process, potentially reducing court time.

4

4

Adaptability
Flexible framework that can evolve with technological advancements.
This approach could significantly improve the handling of computer evidence in legal proceedings.
Shaping the Future of Legal Evidence
The integration of Bayesian reasoning into the Seven Statement Test represents a significant leap forward in how we handle computer evidence in court. This approach promises to enhance reliability, transparency, and efficiency in legal proceedings.
What are your thoughts on this proposal? Could it revolutionize our justice system? Share this post and tag a legal professional or tech enthusiast who needs to see this!

sites.google.com

Alistair KELMAN - Contact me

Contact me

Made with Gamma